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Excerpted from this book!
Prologue
What more
could be said? Canadians were definitely living in interesting
times.
he ancient
curse applied in spades.
Memorandum
Gilles Gratton
Chief Electoral Officer
Government of Canada
June 3, 2010
To: Rt. Hon. Jennifer Clark, PC, MP
Prime Minister of Canada
Re: Québec Referendum
Madame Prime Minister, at your request, and with the
agreement of the Director General of Elections (DGEQ) for
the Province of Québec, I directed my staff to monitor the
Referendum on Sovereignty in the Province of Québec. This
is our preliminary report.
On June 2, 2010, the Government of Québec put a single
question to the population of Québec with respect to Québec’s
future in the confederation of Canada. The question read:
“Do you wish to separate from Canada to form a new
country of Québec? Yes or No”
Of the eligible 5,359,212 registered eligible voters,
4,217,700 cast a ballot (78.7%). There were 109,660 spoiled
ballots (2.6%) resulting in 4,108,040 “valid” ballots. Of the
valid ballots, 2,093,457 were considered Yes ballots (50.96%)
and 2,014,583 were considered No ballots (49.04%)
This result indicates, and our counterparts at the DGEQ
have concurred, that the “Yes” side has prevailed.
While I am not aware of any irregularities in either the
voting or the vote counting, I should bring your attention
to the large percentage of spoiled ballots (2.6%) and point
out that the number of spoiled ballots exceeds the difference
between the Yes and No votes.
Respectfully submitted,
Gilles
Gratton
cc:
Ministers for Justice and Interprovincial Affairs
Chapter 1
Ottawa, Office of the Prime Minister of Canada
June 3, 2010 – 10:00 a.m.
The Prime
Minister of Canada, the Right Honourable Jennifer Clark, used
her slim index finger to press the call button on the intercom.
“Mrs. Dirkson, please ask the Special Committee to meet me in
the Cabinet Room in fifteen minutes. Thank you.”
The PM
swivelled her chair toward the window. She looked out onto the
front lawn of the Parliament Buildings where crowds were
gathering to demonstrate both for and against the Quebec
Referendum result.
Her eyes
focussed on a young child, oblivious to the concerns of the
adults, who was running after a bright pink ball. “What kind of
Canada will you inherit?” she thought.
As she
gazed out over the green expanse and the assembling crowd, she
thought back to what had brought the country to the position in
which it currently found itself.
The
election of the separatist Parti Quebecois in late 2009,
replacing a fairly inept provincial Liberal government, combined
with the continued (protracted, surely) fallout from the federal
sponsorship scandal, and further compounded by some “perceived”
anti-Québec sentiment in the rest of Canada, were certainly
factors. But the real reason was pure fatigue. Canadians were
tired of Québec’s constant demands and whining, while Québecers,
50.96% of those that had their votes counted, anyway, felt that
Québec could go it alone as a country. Or did they? It was
always assumed that separation, if it ever took place, would be
the result of an electoral accident. If too many people, feeling
that their vote did not really matter, voted for separation,
then all Canadians and Quebecers could suffer.
After the
2006 election defeat of the federal Liberal government, which
saw a Conservative minority government come to power, the leader
of the Liberals resigned and set in motion a barely noticed
leadership contest. Most of the big wigs had stayed out of the
race for political reasons. Jennifer Clark was, at the time, a
backbench MP representing Calgary East, the only elected Liberal
from Alberta. Over the nine months of the leadership campaign
she put together a strong team, got some good backers, and
signed up thousands of new members. By the time of the
convention in Toronto she had emerged as a dark horse favourite.
Token woman? No! She had laid out a bold new plan for the
Liberal Party of Canada and almost won the convention on the
third ballot. The winner of the 2006 convention turned out to be
a lot less than advertised and following a less than sterling
period at the helm of the party, he resigned. A new leadership
convention followed in 2008 with a result that Jennifer Clark
became the first female leader in the history of the Liberal
Party of Canada.
She became
the Liberal Leader and Opposition Leader in the House of Commons
in November of 2008, and barely had time to find her new desk in
the Commons, when the Conservative minority government began to
implode in a sea of what should have been minor scandals. But
for the Conservatives, a party that ran on ethics and
accountability, even a small scandal was considered major by the
press and citizens alike.
The
Conservative Prime Minister seemed to go into hiding as issue
after issue surfaced. A Cabinet Minister leaked confidential
personal tax information of one of his vocal critics. A
backbencher called a Korean War veteran a “whiner” when the
eighty year old amputee demanded a reduced wait time for a
medical procedure. The government had reduced the GST rate, as
they promised in their campaign, but then turned around and
raised Employment Insurance premiums to make up the revenue
loss. Compounding all that with a dramatic rise in oil prices
and an increase in skilled job losses, and that was “all she
wrote” for the minority government. The Conservative government
fell in March, 2009.
Jennifer
Clark had been the Liberal leader for a whole five months. The
Governor General called the election for April 4, 2009,
coincidentally, Jennifer’s birthday. In preparation for the
election, Jennifer replaced all the old political cronies in the
campaign headquarters of her party. She directed a new team that
was more cohesive than the previous one (if, in fact, the old
team could even have been called a
team
at all). She came out of the election with a small majority
government.
It was time
to show that a woman could run the country.
Things were
bumpy for the first couple of months, but when the press finally
started to focus on what she was doing rather than what she was
wearing, popular opinion turned in her favour. In September,
2009, the Parti Quebecois was elected in Québec with a promise
to wring more funds out of the “Rest of Canada” to pay for their
childcare, health and education programs. The fact that Québec
already got a lot more out of Canada than it put in was lost in
the rhetoric of the campaign, as usual. Within two weeks of
their election victory, the separatist PQ government announced
that there would be a referendum on the future of Québec on June
2, 2010. Their question would be simple, “Do you want what the
status quo or do you want a new country?”
By mistake
or not, they got their answer.
The PM rose
from her high backed leather chair, smoothed her jacket and
skirt and walked slowly to the Cabinet Room, just down the hall
from her office. As was her habit, the PM was the last person to
enter the Cabinet Room. She moved to the centre seat and looked
around at the assembled Ministers, all members of the Special
Committee, including two from Quebec, whose role it would be to
oversee the aftermath of the Québec Referendum.
The
Honourable William Pollack, Minister of Finance, was MP for
North Vancouver. A graduate of Royal Rhodes with degrees in both
Law and Business, he was instrumental in helping to steer
Jennifer through her term as PM. However, his cocky attitude
towards Québec rubbed many people the wrong way.
The
Honourable Bernard Labrecque, Minister of Defence, represented
the Québec riding of Beauce. He now faced a tough challenge, as
did many Québec MPs in the House of Commons, to determine his
status within the Government of Canada. Was he a Québecer or a
Canadian?
The
Honourable Thomas Littleton, a University of Toronto graduate in
Criminal Law, represented the Ontario riding of Toronto Centre.
He was well respected as Minister of Public Safety, both by the
public and the Opposition.
The
Honourable Robert “Crusty” Samuelson, MP for Blackstrap,
Saskatchewan, was Minister of Agriculture. He was a farmer with
a single credo, “I like to get my hands dirty”. His nickname was
well deserved on more than one level.
The
Honourable Rosaleen Bonaire was the first Métis Minister of
Indian Affairs and Northern Development. She represented the
Manitoba riding of Saint Boniface.
The
Minister of Transport and MP for Laval-Les Îles, the Honourable
Lilianne DuPont occupied the chair to the left of the PM. A
slightly-built woman, always impeccably dressed and coiffed, her
eyes never seemed to stop moving—as if she was wary of someone
sneaking up on her.
The chair
to the right of the PM held the bespectacled Honourable Tran
“Arnold” Nguyen, the MP for Chilliwack, BC and the Attorney
General of Canada. Nguyen was the first foreign-born Canadian to
ever hold this senior cabinet position. Born in Vietnam, Nguyen
came to Canada in 1975 via a Hong Kong refugee camp—one of the
post-Vietnam War “boat people”.
As the PM
looked around the table at the generally serious faces, she
thought she glimpsed a slight smirk on the face of William
Pollock. “I call this meeting to order,” declared Jennifer.
“Mrs. Dirkson, would you please note the time and the attendees?
Thank you.” With the housekeeping completed, she addressed her
Ministers. “I don’t have to tell you the results of yesterday’s
referendum. I doubt that any of us left our television sets
until all the ballots were counted and reported.”
No one
challenged that assertion.
“The result
is a victory for the Yes committee. Pending a final report from
the Elections Canada and the DGEQ in Québec City, we must
proceed under the assumption that decision of Québec to separate
from Canada is a ‘fait
accompli’.”
Jennifer
paused to allow comments but none came.
“Arnold,
can you bring us up to date on the legal aspects of this
decision?”
“I can,
Prime Minister,” began Nguyen. “As you know, the Yes result has
set a number of legal wheels in motion. There are two primary
issues that must be dealt with immediately. The first is the
status of some Ministers at this table. With all due respect to
them, the question is, do MPs elected in Québec have legal
standing in the rest of the country? This is both a legal and an
optics issue. Legally, Québec has not yet left our confederation
with the result of this vote, so they are still members of
Parliament and of this Cabinet. However, in the eyes of many
Canadians, Québec is gone and the Québec members and Ministers
should not have a say at the federal table.”
He paused
for comments, but there were none forthcoming.
“The second
issue,” he continued, “has to do with the mandate, or lack
thereof, that the current government of Canada has to negotiate
the terms of separation with Québec.”
“With all
due respect to you legal beagles, Arnie,” interjected Robert
Samuelson. He knew full well that Arnold Nguyen hated being
called “Arnie”
and disliked the term “legal
beagle”.
“What’s the problem here? We are the legally constituted
government of Canada and the damn “Kweebeckers” have voted to
get out. With all due respect to my cabinet colleagues from
Québec, just give them a pink slip and their share of the debt
and let’s get back to work!”
Before
Nguyen had a chance to respond, Jennifer held up her hand and
said, with a clipped style, “It is not that easy, Robert. Tone
down the rhetoric and let the Attorney General finish. Mr.
Attorney General, please continue.”
Nguyen
glared at Samuelson and said, “As I was saying before I was
interrupted.” He then moved his eyes to the PM. “Aside from the
two immediate issues, there are other pressing legal issues,
such as: revamping the Canadian Constitution; reconstituting
Parliament, which may require a new redistricting and
potentially a new election; division of assets and debts between
Canada and Québec; negotiation of boundaries and trade
relations; and many more.”
“How do you
suggest that we proceed, Arnold?” asked Jennifer.
“I
recommend that we ask the Supreme Court to rule on the validity
of our current government and to ask if we have a mandate to
deal with Québec. However, before they rule on that, the Court
must also be asked about its own make up.”
“How so?”
“As you
know, the Supreme Court has, by law, three members from Québec.
Before the Court can decide on the validity of the government of
Canada, someone will have to determine the validity of those
three members of the Court.”
“What do
you mean, ‘someone’? Isn’t that up to us?” asked Samuelson.
“Not
really,
Robbie,”
Nguyen said with a grin. “The separation of the judiciary from
the government precludes us from making that decision.”
“Who can
make it, then?”
“The World
Court in the Hague.”
“You mean
that we have to go to Europe to clarify our own Court? I thought
we gave up all that grovelling to Europe in 1982 when we
patriated the constitution!”
“Sometimes
you get the shark and sometimes the shark gets you,” Nguyen said
quietly.
“Thank you
for that update, Mr. Attorney General,” said Jennifer. “It seems
that we have a lot of work to do before we can even discuss
sovereignty with Québec.”
Chapter 2
Québec City, Office of the Premier of Québec
June 3, 2010 – 10:30 a.m.
Québec
Premier Robert Benoît was generally a quiet and reserved man,
but today he was almost animated. He was also almost hoarse from
the number of speeches and interviews he had given the night
before. While Referendum Day started off slowly for him, it fi
nished in the wee hours of the morning after he gave an
impassioned thank you speech to twenty six thousand screaming
and cheering Yes-supporters at the Olympic Stadium in Montreal.
He was working on adrenalin now, as he had had less than two
hours sleep during the drive to Québec City following the
victory rally.
He was
hoping that the adrenalin plus the pain killers he took earlier
would cure the pounding headache he experienced when he was
awakened this morning from his meagre sleep.
Like his
federal counterpart in Ottawa, Benoît had convened a meeting of
his referendum committee at his office. In his case, however, it
was not in the staid opulence of Parliament Hill, but rather in
the grey cement Premier’s office building on Grande Allée—
better known as “the Bunker.” Also, unlike the rather low key
meeting in Ottawa, the meeting in Québec was upbeat and somewhat
playful. After all, they had won their independence—their right
to chart a new course.
Benoît
looked around his committee, recognizing old friends such as
Bernard Lapierre, his Finance Minister, Guilliame Prost,
Minister of International Relations, Charles Brebeuf, Minister
of Trade, and René Pelletier, Minister of Pubic Safety. These
were the men who had made this victory possible. They, along
with him, were the Founding Fathers of this new country. They
greeted each as other as the conquering heroes that they were.
The only
committee member not present was “Founding Mother” Caroline
Montreuil, who was delayed by an aircraft problem in her riding
in north western Quebec. She would be arriving in a few hours.
Benoît
called the meeting to order. By 10:30 all the congratulatory
speeches were completed and they got down to work.
Turning to
his Minister of Finance, Premier Benoît began to speak.
“Bernard, are there any indications as to how the capital
markets will react to last night’s victory?”
Lapierre
glanced at his Blackberry through which his staff was keeping
him up to date on the markets. “At this time there is a
moderate downturn at the openings of the Montreal and Toronto
Stock Markets, which means that analysts are not sure what to
make of our win. While the markets do not like change, I think
they will recognize our win as positive. There is nothing to
worry about, so far!”
“Bien.
Merci, Bernard.”
The Premier
then turned to his Minister of Public Safety. “René, what is the
state of our new nation from your perspective?”
Pelletier
looked up from his breakfast muffin and stated, “There were a
few problems overnight, mostly drunken revellers. A little bit
of Anglo-bashing did occur along the Cavendish bar strip in
Montreal, but the police got a handle on it early. At this time,
everything appears quiet.”
“Guilliame,
any word from foreign governments congratulating us?” inquired
the Premiere.
“You are
scheduled get a call, Mr. Premier, from the Prime Minister of
France in one hour. Also the ambassadors of Belgium, Haiti and
Niger called with their congratulations.”
“Belgium,
Haiti and Niger? That’s it? Nothing from the Americans or the
British? Nothing from Italy or China or even Iceland?” exclaimed
Benoît.
“It is
early yet, Mr. Premier. Officials are still digesting our win.
They will not say too much to us directly until Prime Minister
Clark concedes our win on television this morning.”
“I am
surprised that Clark hasn’t called me yet. After all, the loser
always calls the winner,” Benoît said with a smirk.
“I am sure
that the Prime Minister has a lot on her plate right now. She is
probably too busy to call. She will certainly call before she
goes on television,” declared Charles Brebeuf.
“You are
probably right,” agreed Benoît, rubbing his temples to try to
dissolve the returning pain. “Are there any dark clouds on the
horizon at this time? Anything we need to attend to?” asked
Benoît.
“There are
a few rumours floating around,” answered Brebeuf. “I understand
that Ontario is planning to appeal milk quotas to Ottawa. As you
know, Québec dairy farmers have forty seven percent of the milk
producing quota for all of Canada.”
“Is this a
serious problem for us in the short term, Charles?” asked the
Premier.
“I am not
sure at this time, Mr. Premier. It could be just a knee jerk
reaction by that idiot, Premier Foster, in Toronto. He’s up for
re-election in six months and he needs some good press for a
change. I consider it posturing. After all, we have not left
Confederation yet,” responded the Minister.
“Bite your
tongue, Charles,” all the attendees said in unison.
“Keep your
eye on it,” said Benoît, a little concern in his voice.
“Of course,
the Aboriginals have begun to get vocal,” continued Brebeuf. “If
Canada is divisible, then so is Québec. You know the mantra!”
“It’s all
bluster, Charles. Québec is our country and it cannot be chopped
away by some natives,” retorted René Pelletier.
“Keep your
other eye on the Indians, René,” the Premiere stated, with a bit
more concern in his voice.
“Our
person-on-the-inside in Ottawa,” Benoît continued, “has informed
me that Clark and her bunch are in absolute turmoil trying to
figure out if their government is even legal. To make the comedy
even funnier, they planned to ask the Supreme Court to rule on
it but they cannot even say for sure that the Supreme Court is
legitimate.”
All around
the table laughed. “Now you will have to excuse me, I have a
call from Paris to take.” With that, Benoît left the room, a
strained grin on his face.
Chapter 3
The offices of Reynolds and Watson,
New York City
June 3, 2010 – 10:00 a.m.
“Mr.
Watson, Mr. Wilson is on line five from Los Angeles,” announced
the receptionist.
James
Watson was the Senior Partner of Reynolds and Watson, one of the
leading legal and public relations firms in the U.S. His very
large 44th
floor corner office in lower Manhattan looked out over Battery
Park and across to Ellis Island and the Statute of Liberty.
“It’s quite the view for a kid from Cleveland,” he mused to
himself.
Seated in
his executive calf leather chair behind a rosewood desk large
enough for table tennis, a smugly confident Watson glanced at
his watch and then clicked on the Bluetooth earpiece and
microphone for his Blackberry phone.
“Good
morning, David. I expected that we would talk today but not this
early. But it can’t be more than 7:00 a.m. in L.A. Don’t you
sleep?”
David
Wilson was the CEO of Bell Energy Corporation, one of the
largest energy wholesalers in the U.S. Unlike an electric
company or an oil company, Bell Energy was in the business of
purchasing the output of production companies and acting as a
broker to resell it to the highest bidder. Back in 2004, another
wholesaler company, Enron, was caught cooking their books and
skimming profi ts for their executives and Board members. As
Enron melted into bankruptcy, Bell Energy stepped in to buy
Enron’s contracts and contacts for pennies on the dollar. Now,
four years later, the multi-billionaire David Wilson was about
to do his biggest and, potentially, most controversial deal yet.
He was going to buy an institution. It was also a
hydro-electricity producer. And was in a foreign country.
“Good
morning to you, James. I have been a habitual early riser for
most of my adult life. I get my best work done before the sun
comes up. What news do you have for me?”
“Well, I
have no doubt that you are aware that the separatists in Quebec
won their referendum. My office in Toronto has been following
the process and, through their contacts, they have confirmed
that the government of Canada is not going to appeal the
results. It appears that the country
will
be torn apart.”
“Your
initial analysis, James, predicted that Quebec will not be able
to manage its debt load following separation and that they would
have to turn to the International Monetary Fund for support. Do
you still stand by that?”
“Yes, we
do, David. Our analysis concluded that Quebec debt load will
force them to turn to the IMF and that it is most likely that
the IMF will put a number of conditions on their support. The
most important condition, from our perspective, will be that
they will have to privatize Hydro-Quebec.”
“And that
is where we step in,” said David Wilson. “I want Hydro-Quebec.”
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